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Catch-22

Obstacles like safety are overcome by boldness in sheer numbers. However in the US we are reacting to these risks in exactly the wrong way - scale down the project, which only sets it up for failure. Individual risk is manly dependent on allowing numbers of cyclists to pass a certain threshold. Past that threshold, safety to the individual continues to increase dramatically. The risk to safety exists only when we fail to pass the point of ubiquity. Overall liability should actually continue to decrease past that point of investment.

Saturation of the environment is more difficult than in Europe, because all geography is more sprawling here. That means numbers need to be higher than in Europe - not lower, in order to compensate for loss of saturation. Compensation for loss of saturation means we must be even more bold than Europe to match their success. A failure on a scaled-down project just leads to a vicious cycle.

I agree...the fact that the pilot program is so small is a problem.

However, I'm more concerned about the limited number of locations than the number of bikes. As a DC resident, I would gladly shell out $40 if there were locations all over the city to drop the bikes off at...shared bikes would become a valid transportation alternative for me.

The fact that there are only 10 locations however limits my options. As things stand, I can't see paying $40 for the service. Hopefully for the sake of this program succeeding, other DC residents won't come to this same conclusion.

I, too, am worried there aren't enough locations, or enough bikes. I guess I'll shell out the $40 - but without more locations, I'm not sure I'll be able to use it that much. If they could've started more boldly, they should have. I was under the impression that there was some sort of limitation other than the desire to start small.

As someone who is familiar with the Paris system, let me echo your concerns.

Here is the key comparison. In Paris there are many more Velib' stations (over 1000) than Metro stations: this means that Velib' has a good chance of bringing you closer to your destination than the Metro. This makes cycling convenient. In DC, the number of proposed bike stations is a tiny fraction of the number of Metro stations. This means lots of extra walking and/or buses and/or trains.

The problem, for me, is not so much the number of bikes, but rather the number of stations. (Of course more stations means more bikes...)

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